The Impact of Economic Slowdown To the Geospatial Sector

15 03 2009

I was recently interviewed by the magazine ‘Geospatial Today’. An number of topic questions were asked. I thought that it maybe worthwhile sharing my thoughts out.

Q. The world seems to move into an uncertain economic climate. What kind of impact do you think this will have on geospatial industry?

A. I disagree with some statements that the geospatial industry would do well in this rough economic environment. As a matter of fact, we, like any other information technology sectors, will not be immune to the effects of the economy. Consumers, businesses and government agencies have reined in spending and new purchases. A good news is that the geospatial industry services a wide array of applications across many industry segments. Some are facing cutbacks and some will continue do well. Some will play to be safe and cut new expenses, and some will innovate their own paths to become more competitive. For geospatial technology companies, only those whose deliver true values and ROIs to users likely get benefits from this long recovery process. Therefore, we have to ask ourselves whether our offers are ‘broad’ enough so we are not risked in one segment or are ‘good’ enough to be considered as a profit center, rather than a cost center.

Q. Which are the key areas that need further development?

A. Though the geospatial services are broad, we have not been innovative enough to make us stand out. It is primarily due to the fact that the geospatial industry was traditionally driven by the government spending. There are many technology innovations in the general ICT areas, from cloud computing to P2P, from social computing (or Web 2.0) to social networking. Our adoption and integration of these new components in our geospatial offerings has been slow. I personally believe that we, as geospatial practitioners, must change our mindshare and innovate ourselves. This is perhaps the most important area for us to improve.

Technically, we need to further improve our integration with the existing mainstream systems and architectures. Except for some niche applications, enterprise users want a general (not geospatial) information system that is seamlessly integrated with their existing IT infrastructure. The geospatial components (or solutions) must be scalable, and maintainable compared to other IT counterparts. Quality, freshness and cost of the geospatial data are still considered as an entry barrier for many organizations to adopt geospatial solutions. We need to continue investing in data automation tools and processes. Lastly, we need to shift our gear a bit towards the development of consumer-oriented products and solutions. There are incredible ‘blue-ocean’ opportunities that will benefit those first-to-market innovators.

Q. For you, what were the major milestones in 2008?

A. There were a number of cheerful news in the geospatial industry: the successful launch of GeoEye-1, the constellation of RapidEye satellites in orbit, the release of SQL 2008 with spatial support, as well as many new products released and technologies developed. However, to me, the most influential milestones appeared in consumer applications, Internet mapping, mobile location based services as well as automotive navigation. User base for internet mapping sites has grown exponentially, reaching a few hundred millions of on-line users. With a healthy competition in this space, both technological development and user experiences are largely improved, resulting in better and strong user attraction and stickiness. Mobile location based services are made into the mainstream mobile phone applications, thanks to the market penetration of iPhones, and other smart phones. LBS becomes a norm in mobile services. Despite the decline of holiday shopping market, sales of in-car navigation devices (PNDs) still made an impressive number at the growth rate of 70~100% in US.

Q. What is the future promise that this technology holds for all of us?

A. I have been advocating the notion of that the geospatial industry is moving from ‘organizing spatial data’ to ‘organizing data spatially’. The point that I am making here is to reinforce the importance of the relationship of location and other business, social or economic data. ‘Location’ is essentially an index that can be used to organize any data and information including documents, websites, media, voices, emails, etc. The power of location can only be unleashed when the multiple sources of data are analyzed with location.

The geospatial industry has come a long way. It is now a multi-billion dollar industry with location based services (LBS) are leading the way. Personal navigation devices have reached the status of an established mobile device category similar to digital cameras and MP3 players. With the increasing investment by major ICT players, Microsoft, Google and Nokia, and with the increasing adoption by mobile carriers, mobile location based services including in-car services will experience a rapid growth in the next 2~5years. Among many geospatial applications, this is perhaps the most fast growing sector in terms of the revenue base.





Geospatial Industry Outlook 2009: Survive and Thrive in a Changing World

26 01 2009

Conducted by the GeoWorld Magazine Editorial Board, the GeoSpatial Industry Outlook 2009 : Surve and Thrive in a Changing World, is published (here). My personal humble opinion can be found from there. As the Board has reached over 22 leaders and experts in the geospatial industry, this is an excellent assembling of collective intelligence.

Q: Where do you think the next unique and widespread adoption of geotechnology will take place?

[Tao] Geospatial technology is being integrated into the mainstream of information and communication technology (ICT). As the use of ICT is very broad, we will see increasing developments in location-enabled applications. Geospatial technology will become an intrinsic and often invisible part of everyday personal and business uses. In short, the widespread adoption of geotechnology will take place wherever the ICT lies.

The geospatial industry has come a long way. It’s now a multi-billion-dollar industry with location-based services leading the way. Personal navigation devices have reached the status of an established mobile device category, similar to digital cameras and MP3 players.

With increasing investments by major ICT players (e.g., Microsoft, Google and Nokia) as well as increasing adoption by mobile carriers, mobile location-based services will experience a rapid growth in the next two to five years. Among geospatial applications, this is perhaps the fastest-growing sector in terms of user base and revenue projection.

The emergence of local search, either from PCs or mobile devices, accompanied by location-based advertising or commerce, offers an attractive business model that’s impacting the industry value chain from carriers to customers and from content providers to solution developers.

Although the industry is transforming from a hardware-and-software structure to a content-and-services structure, there’s a long way to go before any business enjoys the market maturity and profitability. We should expect consolidations and causalities along the path toward this direction.

As more users traverse, communicate in and even shop in virtual worlds, it’s not unrealistic to think of performing these activities in mirrored worlds built using photo-realistic models. Location will be part of your “virtual life.” We’re at the nascent stage in terms of technology and business models, but it certainly would be disruptive when we come to this era.

If you are interested in the 2008 edition “Industry Outlook 2008: Peering through the Looking Glass”, you can find them at Geospatial Outlook 2008 and Vincent’s Outlook 2008.





SiRF Location 2.0 Summit 2008 Keynote: Where is ‘Where’ ?

19 10 2008

‘Connectivity is now available almost anywhere in the world, as is the ability to determine a location, and to find location information about the people and places that are important to us’ (from the conf marketing material). This simple statment shows all the power of location that are impacting to our lives.

Invited by the conference organizer, I gave a keynote about my personal views on location. The title of my talk is Where is ‘where’ . This is a revised version of the talk I gave at Where 2.0, this blog site had a good summary of my talk at Where 2.0. If you missed it, you can view the record video from http://where.blip.tv/file/968959/).  

The key points that I want to make here are

– we are moving from ‘organzing spatial information’ to ‘organzing information spatially’

we may have overstated the ‘location based services’ (LBS). Location is powering everything and so location powered or enabled services may make more sense (LPS or LES). People come to games are NOT for location-based games but ‘location’ may offer added values to traditional games. This is also applied to social networking. There is no such thing called ‘Location based social networking’. It is social networking but with location as part of its value component.   

– Despite the wide adoption of personal navigation etc, the power of location is not yet fully utilized from an information and communication technology (ICT) viewpoint. There are enormous opportunities ahead of us in making sense of location (as an index to our data and information).

If you are interested in my talk, a copy of PowerPoint presentation can be accessed here.





Visitor Map

15 10 2008

Locations of visitors to this page

Really like this technology as it shows where are audience coming from. This is one of applications for “location powered services’ (LPS). This is not a LBS.





3D Web: Two kinds of Virtual Worlds

16 03 2008

I was invited to give a talk at the Second International Workshop on “Virtual Geographic Environments (VGE)’ hosted by Hong Kong Chinese University, January, 2008. The workshop was chaired by my friend, Prof Hui Lin. Joined by several leading researchers in this field, Mike Goodchild,  Mike Batty, Liqiu Meng etc, I presented my thoughts “Empowering the 3D Web – extension of your lives”. I discussed two kinds of Virtual Worlds:

  • Mirrored Worlds: replicas of the physical world
    • Microsoft Virtual Earth, Google Earth etc
  • Imaginative Worlds: computer-simulated imaginative space
    • SecondLife, There etc.

Regardless which “worlds’ you are developing, the key success is about how you can master these three pieces in the world, that is, places, users (you) and things to do by you in the world (places) and apply the fundamental but complex rules of social, economical, political, ethnical and environmental to the World. I presented some fascinating progress in the developments of these worlds, a comparative analysis of these worlds, business models and use cases, as well as challenges ahead. My full presentation can be accessed from “Empowering the 3D Web: extension of your lives“.





Top Ten Technology Breakthroughs in Geospatial Industry

23 02 2008

Microsoft Location Summit is an annual event, organized internally, where various groups, both microsoft research groups and product groups, within the Microsoft gathered together to share thier technology and business development that is related to ‘location’. We had one day event this year held in the Microsoft headquarters, Redmond, WA. I was invited to give a general talk about “Top Ten Technology Breakthroughs in Geospatial Industry“. This is a hard job but I tried my best to assemble the following top ten work among three categories, positioning, mapping and GIS. This is purely my personal perspective. If I missed any important work, please feel free to comment on it.

Top Ten Technologies that have made a profound impact to the geospatial industry in positioning, mapping and GIS:

  1. GPS/GNSS/GALILEO
  2. Network based Positioning (Cell networks based, WiFi based, etc)
  3. Ubiquitous Tracking (RFID Tagging, etc)
  4. Vehicle based mobile mapping (ie, Street Mapping)
  5. Laser/Lidar Scanning (Land-based or airborne)
  6. High-Resolution Satellite Imaging
  7. Database Centered GIS (Oracle Spatial, SQL Spatial etc)
  8. Componentized GIS (MapInfo, MapPoint, etc)
  9. Internet Mapping (MapQuest, Yahoo Maps, Google Maps, MSFT Live Maps etc)
  10. Immersive 3D Earth Visualization and Interaction (Virtual Earth, Google Earth etc)





Welcome to Vincent Tao’s Blog

5 05 2007

This site is all about Where, Location, and Spatial.

…From an information viewpoint, “what, where, when and who” (WWWW) are the fundamental elements for information organization and indexing. Keyword-based database, management and search technologies, originally designed for addressing “what” problems, will be significantly enhanced or re-architected to accommodate queries that have “where” and “when” dimensions … – Vincent Tao. GeoWorld 2008 Industry Outlook Intervew’

Vincent Tao, Microsoft Virtual Earth

Interview,  December 2007

O’Reilly Interview on Microsoft Live Maps in China, Interview @ O’Reilly Radar

Interview, December 2007

Where will be the geospatial industry and technology be in 10 years and Does neography help or hurt the geospatial industry?

Industry Outlook 2008, Interview by GeoWorld 

Interview, July 2007

Map is being evolved as social media, Interview @ GIS Development